Heat Wave

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Today was sunny and mild...and the next two days promise the same if not better...with max temps reaching the lower to mid-50s, sun, and no precipitation. If only we had better snow and this would be a fine respite. With the warm frontal passage, we are now in much warmer air...take a look at the profiler temperatures above us-one every twenty four hours (at 8 PM)...quite a warming.
Several of you have talked about upcoming snow. The forecast models do show snow returning to the mountains this weekend and the 180 hr forecasts for next week indicate some lowland snow... But you just can't depend on forecasts that far out. Want an example? Below you will see the surface analysis over the ocean and a 180hr forecast at the same time. See any differences? The forecast has an intense 972 mb low center while the analysis (reality) has an amorphous low of around 994 mb. Big difference. And these two maps are more similar than most 180hr forecast verifications!
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